Analyst Conference Summary |
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biotechnology
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Bristol-Myers Squibb
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Therapy sales in $ millions |
Q1 2024 sales |
Q4 2023 sales |
Q1 2023 sales |
y/y change |
Revlimid | $1,669 | $1,450 | $1,750 | -5% |
Opdivo | 2,078 | 2,387 | 2,202 | -6% |
Eliquis | 3,720 | 2,874 | 3,423 | 9% |
Orencia | 798 | 985 | 764 | 4% |
Pomalyst/Imnovid | 865 | 890 | 832 | 4% |
Sprycel | 374 | 526 | 429 | -13% |
Yervoy | 583 | 566 | 508 | 15% |
Abraxane | 217 | 247 | 239 | -9% |
Reblozyl | 354 | 320 | 206 | 72% |
Augtyro | 6 | 0 | 0 | na% |
Zeposia | 110 | 133 | 78 | 41% |
Krazati | 21 | 0 | 0 | na% |
Breyanzi | 107 | 101 | 71 | 51% |
Abecma | 82 | 100 | 147 | -44% |
Opdualag | 206 | 190 | 117 | 76% |
Camzyos | 84 | 88 | 29 | 190% |
Sotyktu | 44 | 63 | 16 | 175% |
Other Growth Products | 319 | na | 280 | 14% |
Other Legacy Products | 228 | na | 246 | -7% |
Total | 11,865 | 11,477 | 11,337 | 5% |
The mid to late stage pipeline includes repotrectinib, farletuzumab exteribulin, AR-LDD, iberomide, mezigdomide, alnuctamab BCMA TCE, CC-99282, cendakimab, LPA1, and milvexian.
Cost of products sold was $2.92 billion. SG&A $2.37 billion. R&D $2.70 billion. Amortization $2.36 billion. Acquired IPRD $12.9 billion. Other expense $81 million. Total expenses $23.4 billion. Operating loss $11.5 billion. Tax $392 million.
Q&A selective summary:
Cost savings, legacy Bristol vs. acquisitions? Mostly legacy: tightening portfolio; agility (layoffs); third-party relationships.
Trough level of earnings, timing of return to growth? We need to be judicious about long-term guidance. IRA impact on Eliquis is a factor, will know later in 2024. Will see that impact in 2026, will return to growth late in decade.
We see multiple growth opportunities from our new acquisitions, but that can involve increased investment in research and in sales.
Cancelling second-generation CTLA4 program, as data not significantly better than Yervoy. Similar decisions made on other pipeline programs. Wants to be best in class in continuing programs.
IRA more? Outcome likely in September. No impact in 2024, but in 2025 will see Part D benefit redesign effects.
Opdualag + chemo did better than Optivo + chemo in a subset of patients, so starting a Phase 3 trial later in the year. Data to be reported.
Expects to double Sutyktu prescriptions this year. This is a highly compeitive market, hopes to become the oral standard of care.
$13 billion with 5.3% interest rate will have a negative impact on other income going forward.
Believes negative IRA impact will be compensated for by the growth part of the portfolio. Revlimid will drop $1 to $1.2 billion this year, then again next year. Remember the LOE for Eliquis is in 2028, so the price issue is temporal.
Most of our planned savings come through this year, will be annualized fully in 2025. 90% of the actions are being taken this quarter.
KarXT rollout plans? Very important, first innovative schiz drug in decades. Will be ready to launch well in advance of the PDUFA date. Will be mostly Medicaid and Medicare patients. Feedback so far is positive. Main ramp will be in 2025.
We are very excited about radiopharmaceuticals as a platform. Integration is going well. In Phase 3, designing trials for other indications, with another IND filing likely late this year. RayzeBio will be an IND engine.
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Disclaimer: My analyst call summaries may include both condensations of statements made by company representatives and my own analysis. They are not covered by any warranty. I cannot guarantee anything said by company representatives is true. I try not to make errors, but it is possible. These are my personal notes which I share with other investors and which I use as the basis of my blog and Seeking Alpha articles.
Copyright 2024 William P. Meyers