Analyst Conference Summary |
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biotechnology
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Celgene
|
Revenue in millions |
Q4 2018 |
Q3 2018 |
Q4 2017 |
change y/y |
Revlimid | $2,549 |
$2,449 |
2,188 |
16% |
Vidaza | 136 |
139 |
163 |
-17% |
Abraxane | 269 |
288 |
251 |
7% |
azacitidine | 4 |
7 |
4 |
0% |
Thalomid | 25 |
30 |
28 |
-11% |
Pomalyst | 567 |
513 |
442 |
28% |
Otezla | 448 |
432 |
371 |
21% |
Istodax | 14 |
13 |
18 |
22% |
Idhifa | 22 |
19 |
13 |
69% |
Other | 2 |
0 |
1 |
na |
Other, non-product revenue was $1 million.
Cash and securities balance ended near $6.04 billion, up sequentially from $4.4 billion. Debt was $20.3 billion. Operating cash flow was $ billion. million shares $ per share average were repurchased.
In December 2018 Celgene made many data presentations at ASH.
Otezla reported positive Phase 3 data for scalp psoriasis.
Ozanimod filings are on track for Q1 2019. New Phase 3 study were initiated in Q3 2018 for Crohn's. Phase 3 ulcerative colitis study should complete in mid-2019.
Revlimid Phase 3 data for relapsed/refractory follicular lymphoma and marginal zone lymphoma met its primary PFS endpoint. Regulatory submissions are planned for 2019.
Pembrolizumab + Abraxane approved by FDA on October 30, 2018 for first line metastatic squamous NSCLC. Upcoming PDUFA dates for IO combinations: - Atezolizumab + Abraxane in 1L metastatic TNBC (March 12, 2019). Atezolizumab + Abraxane in 1L metastatic nonsquamous NSCLC (Sept 2, 2019)
Liso-cel (formerly Juno's JCAR017) phase II pivotal trial evaluating liso-cel in patients with relapsed and/or refractory CLL is initiating. BLA submission expected in H2:19; U.S. approval expected in mid-2020
JCARH125 for BCMA trial data was presented at ASH.
BB2121, in partnership with Bluebird Bio, KarMMa pivotal trial in RRMM completed enrollment in Q4 2018. Believes on track for approval in 2020. bb21217 data presented at ASH 2018
Tislelizumab for previously untreated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) started a Phase 3 trial in Q1, in partnership with BeiGene. Also a Phase 2 for previously treated HCC.
Fedratinib for myelofibrosis is a JAK2 kinase inhibitor that has already completed Phase 3 in treatment-naive patients NDA was submitted.
Reported positive Ph II 52-week data for RPC4046 in eosinophilic esophagitis (EoE).
CC-486 for AML (acute myeloid leukemia)
CC-220 for lupus is in Phase 2.
CC-122 for NHL . Also BGB-A317 in NSCLC.
In September an IND was submitted for CC-92480, a CELMoD for multiple myeloma.
Luspatercept, with partner Acceleron Pharma (XLRN), Phase 3 trial data was positive for MDS (myelodysplastic syndromes) and transfusion dependent beta-thalassemia. Another Phase 3 trial, for ESA naive, very low to intermediate risk MDS patients, started in Q3 2018. U.S. and EU regulatory submissions for RS+ MDS and transfusion-dependent beta-thalassemia on-track for H1:19
Otezla (apremilast) continued several trials aimed at label expansion. In October the Phase 3 trial for moderate to severe plaque psoriasis of the scalp reported positive results.
See also Celgene product pipeline. There are a large number of trials under way not mentioned in this summary. Many of these programs are "potentially transformative." There are 12 Phase 3 studies that should read out by the end of 2018.
Cost of goods sold was $169 million. Research and development expense was $1.14 billion. Selling, general and administrative expense was $850 million. Amortization of acquired intangibles was $127 million. Acquisition gains $54 million. Total costs and expenses $2.23 billion. Leaving operating income of $1.81 billion. Interest expense was $190 million. Other expense $515 million. Income tax provision $44 million.
Q&A:
Questions about the merger should be addressed to BMS.
Luspatercept long time frame? The BLA will include both indications. No additional analyses are pending.
Oral azacitidine? Waiting for trial results.
Ozanimod FDA feedback, timing? We have further characterized the active metabolite. We have had no further delays, right now it is full steam ahead.
Repeated benefits of merger.
Dr. Reddy's lawsuit? Fact discovery has not closed yet. Expert phase should close some time this quarter. Moving to attempted mediation. IPRs in February or March. Those are just on method of treatment patents.
Liso-cel manufacturing preparations? Everything is on track.
Revlimid generics timeline? Most use in U.S. is frontline, also in Europe. We already settled with Natco. We are confident in our patent space. We think it is unlikely there is a risk prior to 2022. Under the right circumstances we would engage in settlements with other companies.
Ex-U.S. contribution to 2019 growth? Price increases in the U.S. will be offset by price declines in the rest of world.
Luspatercept pricing thoughts? Price should match the value proposition.
CVR timing, safety margin? There are many variables, we are comfortable with the timing and probability we achieved for the CVR.
Consolidation of industry? Other companies have been talking about their strategic outlook. The key is innovation.
Otezla sales are going well in multiple indications and should grow in 2019.
For Ozanimod we also have an additional year of safety data, which is good.
MRD (minimal residual disease) negativity for multiple myeloma? FDA is interested in this, to have it included in clinical trials. It could become a recognized endpoint, particularly in frontline trials.
JCAR 125 plans? Early data was released at ASH. Enrollment continues.
Other deals before Bristol merger closes? The deals are related to mitigating side effects of CAR-T. We remain open to business, we will consult with BMS.
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Disclaimer: My analyst summaries may include both our condensations of statements made by company representatives and my own analysis. They are not covered by any warranty. I cannot guarantee anything said by company representatives is true. I try not to make errors, but it is possible. Summaries, of necessity, eliminate fine-grains. These notes are for my own use, but I am sharing them with the investment community. See my Seeking Alpha articles for my opinions.
Copyright 2019 William P. Meyers