Analyst Conference Summary |
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biotechnology
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Celgene
|
Revenue in millions |
Q1 2017 |
Q4 2016 |
Q1 2016 |
change y/y |
Revlimid | $1,884 |
$1,808 |
1,574 |
20% |
Vidaza | 158 |
153 |
147 |
7% |
Abraxane | 236 |
266 |
225 |
6% |
azacitidine | 9 |
11 |
18 |
-50% |
Thalomid | 36 |
35 |
41 |
-11% |
Pomalyst | 364 |
378 |
274 |
34% |
Otezla | 242 |
305 |
196 |
23% |
Istodax | 20 |
21 |
18 |
11% |
Other | 1 |
1 |
2 |
-50% |
Other, non-product revenue was $10 million.
The U.S. psoriatic market was challenging (which Amgen also reported). But sees consistent growth in Otezla share in the market.
Cash and securities balance ended near $8.9 billion, up sequentially from $7.97 billion. Debt was $14.3 billion. Operating cash flow was $0.85 billion. $0.3 billion was spent to repurchase shares. $4.4 billion remains in share repurchase program.
For the full year 2016 revenue was $11.2 million, GAAP net income $2.0 billion, GAAP EPS $2.49. Non-GAAP net income was $4.77 billion, with adjusted EPS of $5.94.
Celgene submitted a new drug application (NDA) on March 1 to the FDA for Idhifa (was enasidenib AG-221) in relapsed and/or refractory acute myeloid leukemia (AML) with isocitrate dehydrogenase-2 (IDH2) mutation by year-end. AG-221 is licensed from Agios.
Celgene will have a strong presence at ASCO, including from partnerships.
Very excited about the potential of luzanomod? across multiple indications.
See also Celgene product pipeline. There are a large number of trials under way not mentioned in this summary. Many of these programs are "potentially transformative."
Cost of goods sold was $113 million. Research and development expense was $995 million. Selling, general and administrative expense was $620 million. Amortization of acquired intangibles was $82 million. Acquisition charges $36 million. Leaving operating income of $1,111 million. Other & interest expense was $86 million. Income tax provision $84 million.
Q&A:
Otezla seasonality? We saw contraction in the market, and minimal draw from inventory. The overall trend line is strong, as we continued to gain 40% of new patients. We see demand rebounding and so our meeting 2017 guidance.
PB 2121, have you seen durable response? At ASCO we will present updated data, including update treatment duration that will include the durability of responses. We should be able to make a pivotal decision by the end of the year.
Ozanimod should show efficacy for multiple sclerosis. We expect meaningful change in the disability index. No oral compound has shown statistically significance in the index. Phase 3trial met all key endpoints. We have not determined pricing.
Juno partnership pivotal trial for JCAR 17? We are responsible for the registrational study in Europe. We will likely do a single arm study, then have to do a confirmatory trial afterwards.
We think four of the molecules we are partnered on are multi-billion dollar opportunities. We still want to be the partner of choice in oncology and immunology.
Return on invested capital? When you lay out money, like for Receptos, it takes a while to get a return, but we are now seeing the potential of Ozanimod from that acquisition. In general we feel great about our return rate and the collaboration approach.
Revlimid market share continues to grow as we get more first-line use and increased duration as well, in both Europe and the U.S.
Ozanimod vs. Mongersin? We are excited about both assets, and could possibly combine them.
Gilenya going generic vs. Ozamimod, MS market? We look at the totality of safety data, which is differentiated in a number of places. It will hopefully be best in class.
BB 2121 trial, minimal residual disease issue in MM? The starting point is the late line population, we got complete responses in triple-refractory market. Population with high-risk genetics in first line will be something to look at. After we get our first approval we will develop a plan for addressing earlier-line populations.
Beyond 2020, if we had Phase 3 results, we could start adding that in to long-term guidance. Our guidance is not probability rated, rather based on indicating data.
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Disclaimer: My analyst summaries may include both our condensations of statements made by company representatives and my own analysis. They are not covered by any warranty. I cannot guarantee anything said by company representatives is true. I try not to make errors, but it is possible. Summaries, of necessity, eliminate fine-grains. These notes are for my own use, but I am sharing them with the investment community. See my Seeking Alpha articles for my opinions.
Copyright 2017 William P. Meyers